Bitcoin Bull Cycle Still Has Legs: Why On-Chain Data Points to $150K Before Year End
A deep dive into MVRV Z-Score, Realized Cap HODL Waves, exchange reserve depletion, and the structural difference between 2021 and this cycle — suggesting we're still far from a cycle top.
CNTV Research Desk · June 2, 2026 · 12 min read
Key Metrics — June 2, 2026
Market Sentiment — Fear & Greed Index
Latest Analysis
BTC Weekly Chart: Golden Cross Confirmed — Targeting $120K Next
The 50-week MA just crossed above the 200-week MA for only the third time in Bitcoin's history. What happened next, both times.
Exchange Reserves Hit 8-Year Low — What the Supply Shock Means for Price
Only 2.1 million BTC remain on exchanges. Historical supply shocks at these levels have preceded 200–400% price surges within 6 months.
Fed Rate Cut in September? Why Crypto Could Be the Biggest Beneficiary
CME FedWatch now shows a 68% probability of a rate cut at the September FOMC meeting. How crypto responded to every rate cut since 2020.
Uniswap v4 vs Aave v4: Which Protocol Will Dominate DeFi's Next Chapter?
Both protocols just launched major upgrades. A feature-by-feature breakdown of TVL growth, fee mechanics, and long-term token incentives.
Social Media Sentiment Peaks — Are We in "Euphoria" Territory Yet?
LunarCrush data shows BTC mentions up 340% over 30 days. We compare current sentiment to 2017 and 2021 peaks to gauge where we are in the cycle.
One Year After the Halving: How This Cycle Compares to 2020–2021
Day-by-day comparison of price performance, miner revenue, and hash rate 365 days after the April 2024 halving vs the May 2020 halving.